Objectives

The CAPSIM model has been developed for the European Commission and is one of the modelling tools to analyse the Common Agricultural Policy on request of DG-AGRI.
By this contract the model shall be extended and updated by:

• enlargement of Bulgaria and Romania
• new methodological features
• user-friendliness

Tasks

The service is divided in four tasks:

Task 1: Written minutes of the kick-off meeting to clarify and agree all the requirements of the study

Task 2: Extension of the agricultural sector model

Three headings
• Regional extension
  • Check and possibly action on existing Eurostat data for Romania and Bulgaria
  • Updating data from Western Balkan study
  • For Turkey all data have to be specified for the first time
• Strengthening the methodology in this phase of model development
  • Explicit gross trade representation including an improved TRQ’s approach
    • Update subsidized exports
    • Aggregate TRQs from CAPRI database
    • Revise parameterisation
  • Labour
  • Land
  • Agro-trade relations with CC: Problems with explicit bilateral trade flows
  • Agro-trade relations with CC: Options for regional prices
• Preparation for new conceivable developments in the future

Task 3: Medium to longer run projections and simulations of interest to IPTS

Task 4: Installation and training

Additional information:

• EuroCARE (2007): Database for Agricultural Sector Modelling, Final Report to IPTS, Bonn.
• Arcotrass (2006): Study on the State of Agriculture in Five Applicant Countries Final Report (not yet published)
• Witzke, H.P., Zintl, A. (2006): Extension of the agriculture sector model and incorporation of Acceding countries, Final Report to Eurostat, Bonn.