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Climate Change - Terrestrial Adaptation and Mitigation in Europe (CCTAME)

Funding

European Commission, Directorate-General Environment,

Duration

Start 2008 - 36 months

Organisation

Project leader: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria

Consortium composed by:

Objectives

The project will assess the impacts of agricultural, climate, energy, forestry and other associated land-use policies, considering the resulting feed-backs on the climate system.

Geographically explicit biophysical models together with an integrated cluster of economic land-use models will be coupled with regional climate models to assess and identify mitigation and adaptation strategies in European agriculture and forestry.

The role of distribution and pressures from socio-economic drivers will be assessed in a geographically nested fashion. Crop/trees growth models operating on the plot level as well as on continental scales will quantify a rich set of mitigation and adaptation strategies focusing on climatic extreme events.

The robustness of response strategies to extreme events will further be assessed with risk and uncertainty augmented farm/forest enterprise models. Bioenergy sources and pathways will be assessed with grid level models in combination with economic energy-land-use models.

The results from the integrated CC-TAME (Climate Change - Terrestrial Adaptation and Mitigation in Europe) model cluster will be used to provide: quantitative assessments in terms of costefficiency and environmental effectiveness of individual land-use practices; competitive LULUCF mitigation potentials taking into account ancillary benefits, trade-offs and welfare impacts, and policy implications in terms of instrument design and international negotiations.

The proposed structure of the integrated CC-TAME model cluster allows us, to provide an evaluation of policy options at a great level of detail for EU25(27) in a post-Kyoto regime, as well as to offer perspectives on global longer-term policy strategies in accordance with the principles and objectives of the UNFCCC. Close interactions with policymakers and stakeholders will ensure the policy relevance of CC-TAME results.

Work plan components


Tasks for EuroCARE

EuroCARE is mainly involved in tasks of working package (WP) 5000: Economic Modelling

Task 5230: The CAPRI model will be used for baseline scenario computations for the Post-Kyoto time horizon.
CAPRI and EUFASOM will establish a joint market and activity database according to the harmonization criteria. CAPRI will incorporate information from the biophysical models to gain higher flexibility with respect to agricultural management changes and become more comparable to the other models.
CAPRI will implement forest response curves from EUFASOM to integrate possible land exchanges between agriculture and forestry. These response curves will be EU country and policy specific and include cost, carbon, and land data.
Exogenous resource and market data will be compared and harmonized.

Task 5330: EUFASOM and RAINS/GAINS will be coordinated with CAPRI baseline projections.


For working package 6000: Integrated Scenario Analysis, EuroCARE is involved to work for:

Task 6210: EU Policies, which is coordinated by INRA.

Assessment of detailed strategies and proposed instruments for future EU policies on agriculture, forestry, and energy. Most of these policies are already formulated in the models. However, such parameterizations have to be harmonized across all models.


For working package 7000: Policy Assessment and Implications, EuroCARE is involved to work for:

Task 7300 Policy implications, which is coordinated by INRA.

The policy csenarios will be assessed in terms of the emerging policy options at the national, regional and global levels and provided with a science based commentary on the institutional, regulatory and economic framework for delivering sustainable land-based GHG mitigation and adaptation options under possible Post-Kyoto regimes as well as for long-term policies under the UNFCCC. Efficiency of individual policy instruments (e.g., subsidies, auctioning of environmental services, taxes) using normative and predictive models under WP6000 will help to give critical guidance on the economic mechanism design issues of policy implementation. Particular focus will be given to the quantification of potential cost saving from policy coordination due to the identification of the ancillary benefits between policies.


Last updated: Thursday, 30-Oct-2008 10:23:01 CET